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However, according to polling aggregator FiveThirtyEight, Biden is now edging ahead of Trump very slightly. As per their daily average of presidential polls, he is now ahead of Trump by 0.1 percent of the vote share with 40.6 percent of the projected vote to Trump’s 40.5 percent. Mopping up the remaining 9.7 percent of the vote is the independent third candidate, Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Newsweek contacted representatives for Trump and Biden by email to comment on this story and will update it with any response.
However while national polls are indicative of the nation’s mood, they are not instructive in determining the result of the election. Instead, the election will likely be determined by a handful of key swing states, as the Electoral College system awards each state a certain number of votes based on population.
A presidential candidate must secure 270 electoral votes for victory, and winning the national popular vote does not guarantee success.
“I think all the polling for the last six months suggests the country has been and will remain evenly split,” he said. “Slight ups and downs for either candidate in any given poll are largely washed out by the next set of polls.
“My conclusion, is Biden and Trump have just about equal support right now, with a sizable portion of the country undecided about who they support and whether they’ll turn out on Election Day.”
On June 27, Biden and Trump are set to square off in Atlanta for the first of two scheduled debates ahead of the general election on November 5.
